Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000183 0.000204 0.000227 0.000253 0.000283 0.000315 0.000352
2025-02-16 0.000149 0.000178 0.000211 0.000251 0.000298 0.000353 0.000421
2025-02-23 0.000125 0.000157 0.000196 0.000247 0.000310 0.000387 0.000489
2025-03-02 0.000106 0.000140 0.000183 0.000241 0.000318 0.000416 0.000551
2025-03-09 0.000092 0.000127 0.000173 0.000239 0.000329 0.000449 0.000622
2025-03-16 0.000082 0.000118 0.000166 0.000238 0.000341 0.000484 0.000698
2025-03-23 0.000074 0.000110 0.000161 0.000239 0.000355 0.000521 0.000780
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000102 0.000155 0.000237 0.000364 0.000553 0.000856
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000097 0.000151 0.000239 0.000378 0.000592 0.000946
2025-04-13 0.000056 0.000092 0.000147 0.000239 0.000390 0.000629 0.001036
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000086 0.000141 0.000236 0.000396 0.000655 0.001111
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000084 0.000142 0.000243 0.000419 0.000711 0.001238
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000080 0.000139 0.000246 0.000435 0.000759 0.001360
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000077 0.000137 0.000248 0.000451 0.000807 0.001487
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000073 0.000133 0.000247 0.000461 0.000846 0.001602
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000068 0.000127 0.000243 0.000464 0.000874 0.001697
2025-06-01 0.000033 0.000065 0.000123 0.000241 0.000473 0.000912 0.001816
2025-06-08 0.000031 0.000062 0.000121 0.000241 0.000484 0.000956 0.001949
2025-06-15 0.000029 0.000059 0.000118 0.000242 0.000497 0.001004 0.002096
2025-06-22 0.000027 0.000056 0.000115 0.000241 0.000505 0.001041 0.002225
2025-06-29 0.000025 0.000055 0.000113 0.000242 0.000520 0.001095 0.002391
2025-07-06 0.000024 0.000052 0.000111 0.000243 0.000532 0.001144 0.002554
2025-07-13 0.000022 0.000050 0.000108 0.000240 0.000536 0.001175 0.002680